Predictive Estimates in Population Models with Variable Dynamics Under Uncertainties

Authors

  • Oleksandr NAKONECHNYI Author
  • Olena KAPUSTIAN Author
  • Svajone BEKESIENE Author
  • Iuliia SHEVCHUK Author
  • Mariia LOSEVA Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3849/cndcgs.2024.417

Keywords:

predictive estimate, uncertainty, population model, nonlinear equation, variable dynamics, information spreading

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the predictive estimates of the model which at the initial time interval describes a slower population growth, and later turns into a model with a rapid growth of such a population. For considered problem, with unknown initial conditions and parameters of differential equations, however for a known number of persons in the population at certain moments of time, we obtain the predictive sets at a given time under certain conditions and substantiate the formulas for calculating the minimum and maximum number of persons in the population.

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Published

2024-11-07